Daily Foreign Exchange Market Update

Yesterday in the foreign exchange market we saw the Pound gain ground against the Euro and the US Dollar. The GBPEUR rate opened the day at a daily low of 1.1646 and strengthened until it closed out at a daily high of 1.1703. The GBPUSD rate followed a similar pattern, opening at a daily low of 1.5218 and closing out at a daily high of 1.5269. The Dollar also saw losses against the Euro with the EURUSD rate opening the day at 1.3068 and closing out at 1.3048.

It was a quiet day for data release yesterday with the main figure being Eurozone consumer confidence. It was expected to come out at -24 but came out slightly better at -22.3. US existing home sales for March came out better than expected, falling by 0.6% compared to the previous month.

There is expected to be a lot more data coming out today, we have already seen German and French PMI data be released. German PMI for services came out at 49.2 and for manufacturing, 47.9, both figures worse than expected. French PMI for services and manufacturing came out at 44.1 and 44.4 respectively, better than predicted. Eurozone PMI for services and manufacturing has just been released, at 46.6 and 46.5 respectively showing an expected deterioration in business conditions.

This Daily Market Update is brought to you by The Market Team @ KBRFX – Exchange Rate, Currency Conversion & Foreign Currency Transfer specialists.

Daily Foreign Exchange Market Update

Yesterday in the foreign exchange market the Pound saw some losses against the Euro but some gains versus the US Dollar. The GBPEUR rate opened the day at 1.1680 and closed out at 1.1646 showing not a great deal of movement yesterday. The GBPUSD rate opened the day at 1.5094 and hit a daily high of 1.5144 early in the morning before it weakened slightly across the day, closing out at 1.5112. We also saw some gains in the Euro against the US Dollar yesterday with the EURUSD rate opening at 1.2922 and closing out at 1.2975.

Yesterday was a quiet day for data release with only Rightmove house prices being released which saw an increase of 1.2%.

Today we have already seen CPI (inflation) for Feb with the figure increasing by 2.8%, more than the Bank of England's target rate of 2.0%. Later today Cyprus' Parliament will vote on the Deposit Levy for the EU bail out.

This Daily Market Update is brought to you by The Market Team @ KBRFX – Exchange Rate, Currency Conversion & Foreign Currency Transfer specialists.

Daily Foreign Exchange Market Update

Yesterday we saw the Pound gain against the Euro but fall in value against the US Dollar. The GBPEUR rate opened the day at 1.2290 and lost ground across the first half of the day, hitting a daily low of 1.2271 at midday; it then gained strength over the latter part of the day to close out at a daily high of 1.2318. The GBPUSD rate opened the day at a daily high of 1.6312 but then fell throughout the day before it closed out at a daily low of 1.6254. Yesterday Manufacturing PMI was released and came out at 51.4, higher than the predicted figure of 49.1 showing a level of expansion in the manufacturing sector. Today the only piece of information set to be released from the UK is the PMI results for the construction sector which is set to come out at 49.5, slightly lower than the previous figure of 49.3 but still below the 50 level.

Yesterday the Euro lost ground against the Pound and the US Dollar in the foreign exchange market with the EURUSD rate opening at 1.3273, hitting a daily high of 1.3291 just after the open and closing out the day at a daily low of 1.3195. German CPI for December was the only figure to come out of the Eurozone yesterday was the CPI figure which was slightly higher than expected, 2.1%. Today there will be no data from the Eurozone.

The US Dollar gained against both the Pound and the Euro in yesterday’s market session off the back of the news that the Congress agreed a deal to stop the large tax increases and spending cuts that were due to come into effect. Initial jobless claims will be released later today with the figure set to be 356K, higher than last weeks figure of 350K.

This Daily Market Update is brought to you by The Market Team @ KBRFX – Exchange Rate, Currency Conversion & Foreign Currency Transfer specialists.

Daily Foreign Exchange Market Update

Last week in the foreign exchange market we saw the Pound lose strength against the Euro and the US Dollar. The GBPEUR rate opened the week at 1.2305 and lost ground across the first half of the week, hitting a weekly low of 1.2273 on Wednesday morning. It then gain strength over the latter half of the week, hitting a weekly high of 1.2429 on Friday morning before closing the week out at 1.2386. The GBPUSD rate opened the week at 1.6037 and peaked on Tuesday afternoon to a weekly high of 1.6131 before it dropped off and hit a weekly low of 1.6002 on Friday afternoon, closing the week out at 1.6030. The main news from the UK last week was that of the Bank of England’s MPC deciding to keep the base interest rate at 0.5% and the asset purchase programme at £375B. This week there will not be much data coming from the UK with the most significant being that of the jobless claims change, showing the amount of new people who are claiming unemployment benefits but still actively seeking work. The figure is set to fall from 10.1K to 5K, some good news for the UK labour market.

The Euro gained strength against the Pound but weakened against the US Dollar during last weeks market session. The EURUSD rate opened at 1.3032 and moved to a weekly high of 1.3126 Wednesday afternoon before it slipped to a weekly low of 1.2877 Friday afternoon, closing the week out at 1.2941. We saw Euro-zone retail sales come out much lower than expected, at -3.6% compared to the predicted figure of -0.8%, showing a lower amount of confidence from consumers in the economy. Euro-zone third quarter GDP came out in line with predictions at -0.1% and on Thursday the ECB decided to keep their base interest rate at 0.75%. This week we are set to see the German CPI (inflation) be released which is predicted to remain at 1.9% and later this week the Euro-zone CPI figure will also be released and set to stay at 1.5%. On Thursday the ECB will release their monthly report discussing various economic topics including information on the latest ECB meeting.

Last week we saw the US Dollar gain ground against both the Pound and the Euro in the foreign exchange market. The latter half of last week saw non-farm payrolls and the unemployment rate released, both showing good news for the labour market in the US. Non-farm payrolls increased by 145K compared to the predicted 85K increase and the unemployment rate fell from 7.9% to 7.7%. This week the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decides on whether or not to keep the base rate at 0.25% with analysts predicting no change. On Friday US CPI (inflation) will be released with the figure set to fall from 2.2% to 1.9%.

This Daily Market Update is brought to you by The Market Team @ KBRFX – Exchange Rate, Currency Conversion & Foreign Currency Transfer specialists.

Daily Foreign Exchange Market Update

Yesterday the Pound saw gains against both the Euro and the US Dollar in the foreign exchange market. The GBPEUR rate opened at a daily low of 1.2305 and peaked mid-morning to 1.2332 before closing out the day lower at 1.2325. The GBPUSD rate opened at 1.6037, the lowest point of the day but gained strength across the day to close out at a daily high of 1.6102. Manufacturing PMI results were released yesterday with the figure coming out slightly higher than expected, at 49.1, but still below the 50 mark showing a contraction in that sector. It has not gone over the 50 mark since May of this year. Today the PMI for construction will be released and is set to come out slightly lower than before, at 50.7, but still showing an expansion in the construction industry.

The Euro saw losses against both the Pound and the US Dollar during yesterday’s market session. The EURUSD rate opened at 1.3032 and drifted to a daily low of 1.3026 mid-morning. It then gained some strength and hit a daily high of 1.3076 just before it closed out the day at 1.3066. Yesterday Spanish and Italian Manufacturing PMI were released and both saw a contraction in that industry. This morning we have already seen Spanish unemployment change be released and coming out much lower than expected at 74.3K, compared to the analysts’ predictions of 90K. Euro-zone Producer Price Index (PPI) will be released later showing the average change in selling prices received by domestic producers for their goods and services.

The Dollar saw losses against the Pound but gains against the Euro in the foreign exchange market yesterday. Yesterday Manufacturing PMI was released from the US and it came out lower than expected, 49.5 compared to the predictions of 51.5, the first time it has dropped below the 50 level since September. There will be no data released from the US today.

This Daily Market Update is brought to you by The Market Team @ KBRFX – Exchange Rate, Currency Conversion & Foreign Currency Transfer specialists.

Daily Foreign Exchange Market Update

Last week we saw the Pound lose ground overall against the Euro and the US Dollar in the foreign exchange market. The GBPEUR rate opened the week at 1.2355 and peaked Tuesday afternoon to a weekly high of 1.2406 but slipped across the second half of the week, hitting a weekly low of 1.2296 an hour before it closed the week out at 1.2406 on Friday. The GBPUSD rate did not see much overall change across the week, opening at 1.6027 and closing it out at 1.6026 however we saw it hit a weekly low of 1.5962 on Wednesday afternoon and peak to 1.6060 when the markets opened Friday morning.

The main news out of the UK last week was that of the new Governor of the Bank of England being announced as current Bank of Canada Governor, Mark Carney. It came as a surprise to the markets but many analysts believe that it is a safe choice due to the fact that Canada has not faced a banking crisis like the UK has. Earlier in the week the revised GDP figure was released and stayed at 1.0%. On Thursday the Financial Stability Report was released followed by a conference held by Mervyn King who announced that may need more capital to be used as protection against possible future losses.

This week PMI results are set to be released in the sectors, Manufacturing, Construction and Services. Thursday will see the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decide on whether or not to keep the base rate and asset purchase programme the same. Both are set to stay as they are although many believe that the asset purchase programme may be increased soon from £375B.

The Euro gained against both the Pound and the US Dollar during last week’s market session with the EURUSD rate opening at 1.2972 and closing the week out at 1.3009. On Wednesday afternoon it hit a weekly low of 1.2880 and peaked at the open of trade on Friday at 1.3020. Last week we saw German CPI (inflation) come out at -0.1%, in line with predictions. Euro-zone unemployment rate was also released on Friday and came out as expected at 11.7%. This week we will see Spanish unemployment change be released on Tuesday. The previous result was the highest since February, 128.2K showing how much the financial crisis across the Euro-zone has affected the labour market. On Thursday the ECB will meet to decide on the base rate which is expected to remain at 0.75%.

The US Dollar weakened against both the Pound and the Euro during last week’s foreign exchange market session. US preliminary GDP was released last week, coming out higher than last year but lower than expected, at 2.7% showing an expansion in the US economy. Consumer confidence came out on Tuesday at 73.7, higher than the 73.1 predicted. Today manufacturing PMI will be released and is set to fall from 51.7 to 51.5. It is a big week for the labour market as non-farm unemployment change and the unemployment rate will be released later this week. Non-farm unemployment change is set to fall from 158K to 141K and the unemployment rate is set to stay at 7.9% on Friday.

This Daily Market Update is brought to you by The Market Team @ KBRFX – Exchange Rate, Currency Conversion & Foreign Currency Transfer specialists.

Daily Foreign Exchange Market Update

During yesterday’s foreign exchange market session the Pound lost ground against the Euro and the US Dollar. The GBPEUR rate opened at 1.2387 and moved to a daily high of 1.2403 early morning before closing the day out at 1.2378. The GBPUSD rate opened the day at 1.6008 and quickly hit a daily high of 1.6018 an hour after the open. It then proceeded to fall during the morning before it hit a daily low of 1.5962 just after lunch, closing the day out at 1.5996. Yesterday we saw no data be released from the UK but today the Bank of England will release their Financial Stability Report which assesses the overall stability of the financial sector at the time of publishing. We may see a significant movement in the GBP against other currencies as analysts will be looking for clues as to future monetary policies. Once the report has been published the Governor of the Bank of England, Mervyn King will hold a conference to discuss the topics covered, however we may see the main topic of conversation be about the announcement of Mark Carney as the new Governor, taking over from King next year.

The Euro saw gains against the GBP but overall it remained unchanged against the US Dollar yesterday. The EURUSD rate opened at 1.2923 before shooting up to a daily high of 1.2938 minutes after the open of the European market. It then slipped throughout the rest of the day, hitting a daily low of 1.2880 mid-afternoon before closing the day out again at 1.2923. The main news from the Euro-zone yesterday was that of German CPI (inflation) being released which came out in line with predictions at 1.9%, the same result as what came out for November 2011, showing no change in the price of living in Germany. Today German unemployment change has already been released which was expected to come out at 16K however it was much lower than predicted, coming out at 5K, some positive news for the German labour market.

Yesterday the US Dollar gained some strength against the Pound and remained unchanged overall against the Euro in the foreign exchange market. The only significant data coming out of the US yesterday were new homes sales which were lower than expected, 368K compared to the 387K that analysts predicted. Later today US GDP will be released with the figure set to rise from 2.0% to 2.8% the highest result since February. Unemployment claims are also set to be released later with the figure set to fall from 410K to 404K; if both these results are as expected we may see the US Dollar gain strength against the Pound so it could possibly be a good day for selling Dollars.

This Daily Market Update is brought to you by The Market Team @ KBRFX – Exchange Rate, Currency Conversion & Foreign Currency Transfer specialists.

Daily Foreign Exchange Market Update

The Pound saw losses against the Euro and the US Dollar in the foreign exchange market yesterday. The GBPEUR rate opened the day at 1.2355 but moved to a daily high of 1.2362 an hour after the open; it fluctuated throughout the day, dropping to a daily low of 1.2331 before closing the day out at 1.2350. The GBPUSD rate opened at 1.6027, hitting a daily high of 1.6034 mid-morning, before falling to 1.5996 in the afternoon and closing out the day at 1.6013. There was no data released form the UK yesterday but there was some big news as the new Governor of the Bank of England was announced. The Chancellor of the Exchequer, George Osborne, announced that the new Governor will be Canadian, Mark Carney who is currently Governor of the Bank of Canada and Chairman of the Financial Stability Board. Many analysts believe it is a sound choice as he has experience as a central banker and Canada has had no big banking crisis like the UK has. Today has already seen the UK GDP revised figure come out at 1.0%, so no change.

The Euro saw gains versus the Pound but losses against the US Dollar during yesterday’s market session. The EURUSD rate opened the day at 1.2972 and dropped to a daily low shortly after to reach 1.2947; it then quickly peaked up to 1.2981 before lunch before it closed the day out at 1.2966. The major news from the Euro-zone yesterday was the Euro-group meeting where for the third time this month leaders have tried to clear an aid payment to Greece. There will be no data from the Euro-zone today.

Yesterday we saw the US Dollar gain against the Pound and the Euro in the foreign exchange market even though there was no data released from the US. Today will see durable goods orders for October be released with the figure set to fall by 1.0%. This is much lower than the previous figure of 9.9% for September showing a lower amount of confidence in the US market however Consumer Confidence will also be released and is set to rise from 72.2 to 73.0.

This Daily Market Update is brought to you by The Market Team @ KBRFX – Exchange Rate, Currency Conversion & Foreign Currency Transfer specialists.

Daily Foreign Exchange Market Update

Last week we saw the Pound lose ground against the Euro with the GBPEUR rate opening at 1.2459 and closing out at a weekly low of 1.2371; it did hit a weekly high of 1.2467 at the open of trade on Wednesday. The Pound did however see gains against the US Dollar during last week’s market session with the GBPUSD rate opening at a weekly low of 1.5902 and closing at a weekly high of 1.6031. Last week we saw UK public sector net borrowing be released with the figure coming out lower than expected at £6.5B showing a surplus which is good news for the economy. The MPC minutes from their last meeting were released too with the data showing all members voting to keep the base rate at 0.5%. This week will see the revised GDP figure be release which is set to remain at 1.0% and Thursday will see Mervyn King hold a press conference about the financial stability report.

The Euro gained against the Pound and the US Dollar in the foreign exchange market last week with the EURUSD rate opening at a weekly low of 1.2763 and closing at a weekly high of 1.2958. The main news from the Euro-zone last week was that of Moody’s cutting France’s credit rating from AAA to AA1 and the other credit rating agency, Fitch, giving it a negative outlook for the next year. French, German and Euro-zone PMI results all came out better than expected and the German 3Q GDP figure came out at 0.2%, as expected. Monday will see the Euro-group meeting be held in Brussels to discuss a range of financial issues such as the Euro support mechanism. On Thursday Italy will hold a bond auction on their 10-year bonds.

The US Dollar lost ground against both the Pound and the Euro in the foreign exchange market last week. It was a relatively quiet week for data release due to Thanksgiving but unemployment claims came out better than expected, 410K compared to the 415K predicted. This week the main data release will be durable goods orders which are set to fall by 0.6%. This shows a lower amount of consumer confidence as durable goods are those that last for at least three years so the initial investment must be worth it. Thursday will see the preliminary quarter-on-quarter GDP figure be released which is set to rise from 2.0% to 2.8%.

This Daily Market Update is brought to you by The Market Team @ KBRFX – Exchange Rate, Currency Conversion & Foreign Currency Transfer specialists.

Daily Foreign Exchange Market Update

The Pound saw itself weaken against the Euro and the US Dollar in the foreign exchange market yesterday. The GBPEUR rate opened at 1.2422, a daily high, and lost strength across the day before closing out at a daily low of 1.2374. The GBPUSD rate opened at 1.5964 and quickly gained strength, hitting a daily high of 1.5979 early morning. Throughout the rest of the day it weakened before closing out at a daily low of 1.5930. There was no data released from the UK yesterday and none will come out today.

The Euro gained strength against both the Euro and the US Dollar during yesterday’s market session. The EURUSD rate opened the day at a daily low of 1.2851 before hitting a daily high of 1.2899 at midday, closing the day out at 1.2874. Yesterday we saw German, French and Euro-zone PMI all come out better than expected, some good news for once. Today German GDP figures have been released with the year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter figures coming out in line with predictions, 0.4% and 0.2% respectively. Today there is also a Euro-zone economic summit where heads of state will meet and discuss future plans for Spain and Greece.

The US Dollar saw some gains against the Pound but weakened against the Euro in the foreign exchange market yesterday. There was no data from the US yesterday as it was Thanksgiving and none will be released today

This Daily Market Update is brought to you by The Market Team @ KBRFX – Exchange Rate, Currency Conversion & Foreign Currency Transfer specialists.

Daily Foreign Exchange Market Update

In the foreign exchange market yesterday we saw the Pound lose ground against the Euro but gain against the US Dollar. The GBPEUR rate opened at a daily high of 1.2456 and lose momentum throughout the day before it hit a daily low of 1.2421 in the afternoon, closing out the day at 1.2433. The GBPUSD rate opened the day at a daily low of 1.59 and gained strength throughout the day to close out at a daily high of 1.5935. The main news coming from the UK yesterday were the results of the public sector net borrowing, the amount of new debt held by the government. The figure came out much lower than before, 6.5B compared to the 9.9B last month. There will be no data coming from the UK today.

The Euro gained against the Pound but saw losses against the US Dollar in the foreign exchange market yesterday. The EURUSD rate opened at a daily low of 1.2765 and gained throughout the day to close out at a daily high of 1.2816. There was no data released from the Euro-zone yesterday but today has already seen German PMI be released, up to 46.8 from 46 last month. Euro-zone PMI has also been released, up slightly from 45.7 to 45.8.

The US Dollar weakened against both the Euro and the US Dollar in the foreign exchange market yesterday. This came off the back of jobless claims which came out higher than expected, down from 451K to 410K. Today is Thanksgiving in the US, a public holiday, so no data will be released.

This Daily Market Update is brought to you by The Market Team @ KBRFX – Exchange Rate, Currency Conversion & Foreign Currency Transfer specialists.

Daily Foreign Exchange Market Update

Yesterday the Pound weakened against the Euro but strengthened against the US Dollar in the foreign exchange market. The GBPEUR rate opened at 1.2509, peaking early morning to a daily high of 1.2546 before slipping across the rest of the day to close out at a daily low of 1.2492 showing overall it was a good day to be buying Euros. The GBPUSD rate opened at a daily high of 1.5873 and also gained strength in the morning to reach a daily high of 1.5916 before closing the day slightly lower at 1.5884. Yesterday UK CPI (inflation) data was released and came out higher then expected, 2.7% compared to the 2.3% predicted. Food prices, especially produce, were one of the main reasons for the increase and they went up due to the record wet weather we had earlier in the year. The Bank of England want to keep inflation low at 2% and the normal way of doing so is by rising interest rates which it will not do during a period of weak economic activity. This month’s results were a lot different to September’s release where CPI was 2.2%, the lowest for nearly three years.

This morning we have already seen UK jobless claims be released, showing the change in the number of people claiming unemployment benefits during the previous month and came out at 10.1K even though there was predicted to be no change from last month where it fell by 4K. Later today the Bank of England will release their inflation report which will show a projection for inflation and growth over the next two years. Mervyn King is also set to hold a conference along with other MPC members to discuss the report’s content.

The Euro gained ground against both the Pound and the US Dollar during yesterday’s market session. The EURUSD rate opened at 1.2688 but quickly dropped to a daily low of 1.2660; it then gained strength during lunch and hit a daily high of 1.2728 before closing the day out at 1.2718. Yesterday the German ZEW consumer confidence survey was released showing whether analysts and investors have an optimistic or pessimistic view on the German economy. The Figure came out significantly lower than expected, -11.5 compared to -9.9 showing that even in Germany patience is wearing thin. Today will see French CPI (inflation) be released with the figure not set to move much, from 2.2% to 2.1%.

The US Dollar saw gains against the Pound but losses against the Euro in the foreign exchange market yesterday. No data came out of the US yesterday but today will see a few significant pieces be released, the first being retail sales showing the change in total value of sales at retail level giving us an insight into consumer demand and confidence. Last month retail sales rose by 1.1% but they are set to fall by 0.2% this month showing a decrease in consumer confidence. PPI will also be released later today revealing the change in the prices of finished goods and service sold by producers and is set to rise by 0.2%, lower then the previous result of 1.1%. The Fed will also release the minutes from the October meeting later today.

This Daily Market Update is brought to you by The Market Team @ KBRFX – Exchange Rate, Currency Conversion & Foreign Currency Transfer specialists.

Daily Foreign Exchange Market Update

Yesterday in the foreign exchange market the Pound weakened against both the Euro and the US Dollar. The GBPEUR rate opened the day at 1.2507, a daily high before dropping to a daily low of 1.2468 just after lunch; it finally closed out at 1.2483. The GBPUSD rate opened at 1.5897 and hit a daily high of 1.5909 mid-morning, it then weakened throughout the rest of the day to close out at a daily low of 1.5869. There was no data released from the UK yesterday but today will see CPI (inflation) come out showing the change in prices of goods and services purchased by consumers. The previous month’s figure was 2.2% and today the figure is set to come out only slightly higher at 2.3%, further away from the headline inflation figure of 2%, set by the Bank of England.

The Euro gained some ground against the Pound and the US Dollar during yesterday’s market session. The EURUSD rate opened the day at 1.2709, falling quickly to reach a daily low of 1.2703; over the next two hours it gained strength to hit a daily high of 1.2726 before closing out the day slightly lower at 1.2712. Yesterday, Euro-Area ministers met in Brussels to discuss the situation in Greece and decided that they would give Greece two more years to meet its fiscal goals but are not expected to authorise more money. Today, German ZEW economic sentiment will be released showing the level of diffusion in the economy, a leading indicator of economic health. It surveys 275 German institutional investors and analysts and a total result of above 0 shows optimism, below 0 showing a pessimistic view on the economy. The result is expected to be -10.1, slightly better then last month’s result of -11.5 but still showing overall pessimism in the market.

The US Dollar gained against the Pound yesterday but weakened against the Euro in the foreign exchange market. Yesterday was a public holiday in the US so no data was released and today is a very quiet day on that front with no data being set to be released again.

This Daily Market Update is brought to you by The Market Team @ KBRFX – Exchange Rate, Currency Conversion & Foreign Currency Transfer specialists.

Daily Foreign Exchange Market Update

Last week saw the Pound lose ground against the Euro and the US Dollar in the foreign exchange market. The GBPEUR rate opened the week at 1.2519, falling throughout the first half of the week before hitting a weekly low of 1.2453 on Wednesday morning. It then quickly gained ground to reach a weekly high on Thursday afternoon at 1.2561 before closing the week out slightly lower at 1.2514. The GBPUSD rate opened at a weekly high of 1.6013 before losing strength throughout the week and closing at a weekly low of 1.5906. Last week there were several pieces of data coming out of the UK, the most important being the Bank of England’s decision to keep the base rate and asset purchase target the same at 0.5% and £375B respectively. As well as this PMI for services was released which shows the level of business conditions in the services sector, it was worse than expected, coming out at 50.6 compared to the 52.0 predicted.

This week will see CPI (inflation) be released, showing the change in prices for retail goods, the Bank of England’s key measure on inflation and is expected to come out slightly higher than before at 2.4% Jobless claims will also be released showing the change in the number of people claiming unemployment-related benefits; the previous month’s figure was -4K and this month it is set to come out at -5.1K, a better result.

The Euro gained against the Pound but lost strength against the US Dollar during last week’s market session. The EURUSD rate opened the week at 1.2792 before moving to a weekly high of 1.2868 on Wednesday morning. It then weakened throughout the latter half of the week, dropping to a weekly low of 1.2689 on Friday afternoon, closing the week out slightly higher at 1.2715. Last week saw Spanish unemployment change be released, coming out at 128.2K, much higher then the 90.3K predicted, the highest since February, bad news for the Spanish job market. Mario Draghi spoke in a conference regarding the state of the Euro-zone economy. He stated that he expected inflation to fall below 2% in the next year even though unemployment is high and economic activity is week. He also said that the actions of the ECB should build confidence in the short term but only actions of the Government can build confidence in the long term. On Thursday it was announced that the ECB would keep their base interest rate at 0.75%.

This week will see most of the economic data come from Germany, with the German ZEW survey on economic sentiment, a good medium term forecast of the German economy being released on Tuesday, the result set to be -10, better then the previous result of -11.5. Thursday will see Germany release their third quarter GDP results, the figure set to be 0.1%, lower then the second quarter result of 0.3%. The Euro-zone third quarter GDP figure will also be released with the economy set to be seen to contract by 0.1% this quarter, slightly better then the second quarter where it contracted by 0.2%.

The US Dollar gained against both the Pound and the Euro in the foreign exchange market last week. Unemployment claims came out a lot better then expected, 355K compared to the 367K predicted, some good news for the US jobs market. The University of Michigan consumer confidence figure also came out higher then expected, 84.9 compared to 82.9, the highest figure we have seen since July 2007, very good news for the economy. The most significant figure coming out of the US this week is year on year CPI (inflation) which is set to fall slightly from 2.1% to 2%, not a great deal of change for inflation.

This Daily Market Update is brought to you by The Market Team @ KBRFX – Exchange Rate, Currency Conversion & Foreign Currency Transfer specialists.

Daily Foreign Exchange Market Update

During yesterday’s market session the Pound weakened against the Euro and the US Dollar with the GBPEUR rate opening at 1.2504, a daily high and fell throughout the day before closing at a daily low of 1.2469. The GBPUSD rate opened at 1.5985, dropping early morning to a daily low of 1.5964, peaking around lunch time to a daily high of 1.5989 before closing slightly higher at 1.5983. Yesterday was a quiet day for data release in the UK with the most significant piece being the month on month Halifax house price index which shows the change in prices of homes financed by HBOS. The previous figure was -0.4% and the actually figure missed the 0.5% forecast, coming out at -0.7%, showing lower activity in the housing market. There will be no data coming out of the UK.

The Euro gained strength against both the Pound and the US Dollar in the foreign exchange market yesterday with the EURUSD rate opening at a daily low of 1.2784 and closing out at a daily high of 1.2818. Yesterday the Bundesbank released the results for German factory orders which shows the change in total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers. The result came out much lower then expected, -3.3% compared to -0.3% showing that there is less activity in the manufacturing sector. Today the Greek government will meet to discuss austerity plans. They will vote and decide on whether the measures in the ‘medium term financial strategy 2013-2016’ will be implemented. There are expected to be a wave of 48 hour public sector strikes against wage and pension cuts but Prime Minister Antonis Samaras is expected to marginally win support for these austerity cuts.

The US Dollar gained some strength against the Pound but lost some against the Euro during yesterday’s market session. However this morning the Dollar quite a bit of ground against the Pound and the Euro due to the announcement of Barack Obama holding Presidency for the next four years.

This Daily Market Update is brought to you by The Market Team @ KBRFX – Exchange Rate, Currency Conversion & Foreign Currency Transfer specialists.

Foreign Exchange Daily Market Update 21/06/11

The Pound closed yesterday lower against the Euro, but slightly higher against the US Dollar in the foreign exchange market. The GBP/EUR rate opened at 1.1354, but closed trading just under 1.1315; the GBP/USD rate picking up to 1.6206 from the day’s open at 1.6128, a good gain for the Pound, making it slightly more attractive for UK consumers who are buying Dollars. There were no economic data releases from the UK yesterday, so the currency was left open to market movements based on sentiment and news from other world economies.

Today’s UK economic docket will focus on public sector finances; with the monthly figures for public sector net borrowing and public finances set for release. The market will watch closely to see if the UK Government is sticking to it’s pledge to make deep cuts to reduce the overall debt level, but there could well be a knock-on effect that harsh austerity measures will affect overall economic growth.

The Euro managed to regain some strength against the Pound yesterday, even in the face of disappointing economic data. Yesterday saw the release of German producer price figures for May, and with a sharp drop in the month-on-month figure, from 1.0% growth to 0.0%, and also the annual level falling from 6.4% to 6.1%, it would have made sense for the Euro to weaken slightly, but the result was completely the reverse. It may well be that the currency is finding strength from the strong rhetoric from the EU, that it will reach a suitable solution for Greece, with European Commission President José Manuel Barroso insisting that Greece will ‘never’ be allowed to go bankrupt. Barosso drew parallels with the global financial crisis that started with US banking giant Lehman Brothers going bust; and stated ‘’A country going bankrupt is much more delicate than a bank that would affect all EU members. No, we should never allow a country to go bankrupt.’’ Whilst the Euro continues to find strength, it will make it more expensive for UK consumers who are buying Euros.

Today’s economic docket from Europe contains the highly influential ZEW Economic Sentiment surveys for Germany and the overall Euro-zone. The ZEW survey conveys the opinions of select financial experts on the direction of inflation, interest rates, exchange rates, and the stock market over the next six months, and any shock result in its findings does have the potential to strengthen or weaken the European currency. EU finance ministers are also still working hard to try and produce solution to Greece’s debt woes, and the currency exchange market may take direction from the outcome of this.

The US Dollar weakened against the Pound throughout yesterday, and with no economic data to support the Greenback it also fell sharply against the Euro. The EUR/USD rate peaked at 1.4314, up from the morning’s open at 1.4203.

The economic docket from the US today is comprised solely of housing data; with existing home sales figures for May set for release. Sales are expected to drop, both annually and month-on-month, and in a market that is still fairly weak in the US, it is not a positive sign for the overall economic picture, and could weaken the Dollar slightly on release.

Mike Hood
KBRFX

Foreign Exchange Daily Market Update 31/05/11

The British Pound opened the week a touch above 1.65 against the US Dollar, following a fairly positive week of economic data in the UK, which saw Consumer Confidence rise by the second highest level seen since 1993. Add to this an increase in house prices, Government borrowing dropping by record levels, and the release of 1st quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures showing 0.5% growth, it has certainly helped the exchange rate no end.

It is unlikely though, that this week will follow a similar pattern, albeit due to the fact that the UK economic calendar is decidedly empty. Apart from Purchasing Manager Index figures for manufacturing, construction and services being released on consecutive days from Wednesday, the foreign exchange market will be more than likely to take direction from the European and US economies, and broader-based risk sentiment.

The Euro continues to face severe pressure, but has found support as an article published by the Wall Street Journal, suggested that Germany is considering ‘a rescheduling of Greek bonds to facilitate a new package of aid loans’, as it seems that the Euro-zone’s strongest economy accepts that without their help, the possibility of Greece running out of funds in the next month could have disastrous consequences for the rest of the member states.

In terms of monetary policy, the currency exchange market seems to be speculating that the chances of another rate-hike from The European Central Bank (ECB) in June are rapidly diminishing. With debt contagion worries still weighing heavily on policy-makers mind’s, the realisation is that whilst raising the interest rate once again would see a short term boost for the Euro currency, the knock-on effect could be a complete wipe-out of growth across the region.

The US Dollar could well benefit from any potential fall-out in Europe, and signs of weakness in the UK. The greenback is seen as one of the world’s ‘safe-haven’ currencies, and the longer there is indecision in regards to the EU, the IMF, and even the Bank of England, the dollar may well see welcome flows which benefit the exchange rate.

This coming week will be data-heavy for the US, so expect any surprises to make big moves in the foreign exchange market. Tuesday will see the release of Consumer Confidence figures for May, moving on to ISM Manufacturing figures on Wednesday, and concluding with the potentially market-moving Non-Farm payroll figures on Friday. All of these data events are seen by the market as having high-importance in terms of the overall health picture of the US economy, particularly key components such as the manufacturing and labour markets, so traders will be exercising caution, looking for any surprises.

Foreign Exchange Daily Market Update 17/05/11

Despite yesterday's lack of data the Pound managed to rebound from a low of 1.6158 against the US Dollar and to test levels of 1.6250, while at the same time the currency ended the day lower against the Euro at 1.1440 down from its early morning high of 1.1505.

Today, the UK's docket will focus on inflation. The headline figure, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was expected to show that prices rose annually by 4.1% in April and that the core index was to hold steady at 3.2%. However inflation came in above these expectations with the core index reaching 3.7% and the total CPI reading hitting 4.5%. The Bank of England has repeatedly stressed that higher food and energy costs are temporary and will die down, but with the central bank forecasting that CPI will rise to 5% this year, an interest rate hike may well be on the way. The outcome will raise expectations that the MPC's last vote count will show at least 4 members voting for some form of a rate hike, but traders will have to wait until Wednesday for the release of the minutes to May's policy meeting.

The FX market seemed to have little reaction to yesterday's Euro-zone consumer price index which rose at an annualized rate of 2.8% April to meet expectations, with core price inflation coming in above the consensus with 1.6% growth. At the same time, the region's trade surplus was larger than expected with non-seasonally adjusted balance showing a surplus of €2.8 billion. The currency also remained stable in the face of IMF Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn being arrested on sexual assault charges. Strauss-Kahn was scheduled to attend the EU Finance Minister's Summit being held in Brussels today, but Deputy MD Nemat Shafik has gone in his place. The summit had been called to discuss, among other things, the Greek bailout package, with finance ministers asking the nation to sell assets and deepen its spending cuts in order to win an extension of its aid package to €110 billion. Finance ministers also agreed to endorse Portugal's €78 billion bailout package, but the package still requires approval by all euro-area governments, and is expected to run over a 3-year period if approved. The EU Finance Ministers' summit continues for a second day today.

Looking at today's scant line up, economic confidence is expected to have fallen across Germany and the Euro-zone in the month of May, according to forecasts for the ZEW surveys. Economic analysts foresee the index slipping from 19.7 to 17.3 in the Euro-zone, while the German reading should fall to 4.5 from 7.6. As sentiment weakens in the Euro-zone, the outcome has the potential to weigh on the Euro exchange rate making it cheaper to buy Euros.

During a speech in Washington, the Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke suggested that the US government should fund research and development. The Chairman believed that this would boost economic growth in America, while also supporting science through education. Notably Bernanke refrained from commenting on the outlook for the economy or monetary policy. On the data front, the New York Fed's Empire manufacturing index showed that manufacturing activity grew at a slower pace compared to April, as the index fell from 21.70 to 11.90, missing expectations for 19.70 reading. This was then followed by a disappointing NAHB housing market index which held at 16, missing calls for a print of 17.

The week's first round of US housing market data makes an appearance today with building permits set to rise by 0.3% in April to an annualized rate of 587,000, with housing starts for the same period expected to pick up 3.5%. A small increase in building permits would highlight the weak state of the US housing market.