Daily Foreign Exchange Market Update

Yesterday in the foreign exchange market we saw the Pound gain ground against the Euro and the US Dollar. The GBPEUR rate opened the day at a daily low of 1.1646 and strengthened until it closed out at a daily high of 1.1703. The GBPUSD rate followed a similar pattern, opening at a daily low of 1.5218 and closing out at a daily high of 1.5269. The Dollar also saw losses against the Euro with the EURUSD rate opening the day at 1.3068 and closing out at 1.3048.

It was a quiet day for data release yesterday with the main figure being Eurozone consumer confidence. It was expected to come out at -24 but came out slightly better at -22.3. US existing home sales for March came out better than expected, falling by 0.6% compared to the previous month.

There is expected to be a lot more data coming out today, we have already seen German and French PMI data be released. German PMI for services came out at 49.2 and for manufacturing, 47.9, both figures worse than expected. French PMI for services and manufacturing came out at 44.1 and 44.4 respectively, better than predicted. Eurozone PMI for services and manufacturing has just been released, at 46.6 and 46.5 respectively showing an expected deterioration in business conditions.

This Daily Market Update is brought to you by The Market Team @ KBRFX – Exchange Rate, Currency Conversion & Foreign Currency Transfer specialists.

Daily Foreign Exchange Market Update

Yesterday in the foreign exchange market the Pound saw some losses against the Euro but some gains versus the US Dollar. The GBPEUR rate opened the day at 1.1680 and closed out at 1.1646 showing not a great deal of movement yesterday. The GBPUSD rate opened the day at 1.5094 and hit a daily high of 1.5144 early in the morning before it weakened slightly across the day, closing out at 1.5112. We also saw some gains in the Euro against the US Dollar yesterday with the EURUSD rate opening at 1.2922 and closing out at 1.2975.

Yesterday was a quiet day for data release with only Rightmove house prices being released which saw an increase of 1.2%.

Today we have already seen CPI (inflation) for Feb with the figure increasing by 2.8%, more than the Bank of England's target rate of 2.0%. Later today Cyprus' Parliament will vote on the Deposit Levy for the EU bail out.

This Daily Market Update is brought to you by The Market Team @ KBRFX – Exchange Rate, Currency Conversion & Foreign Currency Transfer specialists.

Daily Foreign Exchange Market Update

Yesterday the Pound saw gains against both the Euro and the US Dollar in the foreign exchange market. The GBPEUR rate opened at a daily low of 1.2305 and peaked mid-morning to 1.2332 before closing out the day lower at 1.2325. The GBPUSD rate opened at 1.6037, the lowest point of the day but gained strength across the day to close out at a daily high of 1.6102. Manufacturing PMI results were released yesterday with the figure coming out slightly higher than expected, at 49.1, but still below the 50 mark showing a contraction in that sector. It has not gone over the 50 mark since May of this year. Today the PMI for construction will be released and is set to come out slightly lower than before, at 50.7, but still showing an expansion in the construction industry.

The Euro saw losses against both the Pound and the US Dollar during yesterday’s market session. The EURUSD rate opened at 1.3032 and drifted to a daily low of 1.3026 mid-morning. It then gained some strength and hit a daily high of 1.3076 just before it closed out the day at 1.3066. Yesterday Spanish and Italian Manufacturing PMI were released and both saw a contraction in that industry. This morning we have already seen Spanish unemployment change be released and coming out much lower than expected at 74.3K, compared to the analysts’ predictions of 90K. Euro-zone Producer Price Index (PPI) will be released later showing the average change in selling prices received by domestic producers for their goods and services.

The Dollar saw losses against the Pound but gains against the Euro in the foreign exchange market yesterday. Yesterday Manufacturing PMI was released from the US and it came out lower than expected, 49.5 compared to the predictions of 51.5, the first time it has dropped below the 50 level since September. There will be no data released from the US today.

This Daily Market Update is brought to you by The Market Team @ KBRFX – Exchange Rate, Currency Conversion & Foreign Currency Transfer specialists.

Daily Foreign Exchange Market Update

Thursday saw the Pound stay unchanged against the Euro, opening and closing at 1.2315, peaking early morning to 1.2330 and dipping to a day low of 1.2304 around noon. The Pound however lost strength against the US Dollar yesterday with the GBPEUR rate opening at 1.6142, falling to a day low early morning to 1.6116. It peaked at midday to 1.6171 and fell throughout the rest of the day to close out at 1.6138. Yesterday saw retail sales being released from the UK with positive results coming out. In September sales in creased by 0.6%, much better then August results which fell by 0.1%. Clothing and footwear sales were up by 2%, showing solid growth from the UK in Q3.

Today will see UK Public Finances, the amount of money financed to the government, being released. The previous figure was a deficit, –9.6B, which is unfavourable and can be bearish for the Pound. The figure for September is set to come out at 4.7B, a more positive result.

The Euro was unchanged against the Pound and lost ground against the US Dollar in the foreign exchange market yesterday. The EURUSD opened at 1.3107, climbing mid-morning to 1.3129 before falling for the rest of the day – reaching a day low of 1.3078, closing slightly higher at 1.3098. Yesterday the main news was from the EU Summit where the leaders have agreed to set up a single eurozone banking supervision, meaning they are getting closer to a banking union which allows the central bank to intervene, if necessary, on any of the 6,000 banks in the eurozone. There was some news out of Italy with its third largest lender having its credit rating cut to junk (Baa3 to Baa2) by Moody’s. Today will see German Producer Prices being released which are set to rise by 1.6%, same as last years result, showing an increase in the prices paid by domestic producers for goods.

The US Dollar gained strength against both the Pound and the Euro during yesterday’s market session even though US initial jobless claims came out a lot higher then expected, 388K compared to 365K. Today there will be no data coming out of the US.

This Daily Market Update is brought to you by The Market Team @ KBRFX – Exchange Rate, Currency Conversion & Foreign Currency Transfer specialists.

Daily Foreign Exchange Market Update

Yesterday saw the Pound gain some strength against the Euro and the US Dollar in the foreign exchange market. The GBPEUR opened at 1.2406 and fell to a day low of 1.2379 at noon before picking up during the second half of trading, closing at a day high of 1.2408. The GBPUSD opened at a day low of 1.6030 gaining ground throughout the day, peaking early morning at 1.6078 and closing only slightly lower at 1.6068. No data was released yesterday from the UK.

Today the main piece of information from the UK today is the CPI results that are expected to rise by 2.2% compared to 2.5% this time last year. CPI is always a key figure as it is the main measure for inflation, tracking changes in the price of a basket of goods.

The Euro lost ground against the Pound but gained some against the US Dollar in yesterday’s market session. The EURUSD opened at a day low of 1.2920, gaining strength in the morning before peaking at noon to reach 1.2979 – closing out lower at 1.2949. Yesterday the Commission president Jose Manuel Barroso spoke in Brussels and praised the EU’s international marketplace as the ‘cornerstone of European integration and sustainable growth’ and stated that he had seen a greater degree of openness in the council recently, showing greater confidence for the Euro-zone.

Today will also see CPI data coming out of the Euro-zone with the year-on-year figure for September set to increase by 2.7%, in line with the previous year’s result.

The US Dollar lost strength against both the Pound and the Euro yesterday on the back of advanced retail sales for September being released. This monthly measure of sales and goods at retail outlets is a significant market mover with more than 10% of all US economic activity being from retail sales. The figure increased by 1.1%, more then the analyst predictions of 0.8%.

The only significant piece of data coming out today is the CPI results, like the UK and Euro-zone, and is also expected to increase, by 1.9%, only slightly higher then the 1.7% increase last September.

This Daily Market Update is brought to you by The Market Team @ KBRFX – Exchange Rate, Currency Conversion & Foreign Currency Transfer specialists.

This Daily Market Update is brought to you by The Market Team @ KBRFX – Exchange Rate, Currency Conversion & Foreign Currency Transfer specialists.

Foreign Exchange Daily Market Update 14/06/11

Monday's economic docket from the UK was extremely light; however this did not stop the Pound from making some headway against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD exchange rate picked up to a high of 1.6343 by 14:00 BST, making it cheaper for people who are buying Dollars; before heading back towards 1.63. The currency pair received a boost following the release of the Bank of England's (BoE) quarterly inflation report in which the central bank's Chief Economist Spencer Dale said that long-term inflation expectations remained stable. However Dale went onto say that shorter-term inflation expectations were more difficult to gauge and remain "a key area of concern".

May's inflation figures take precedence on the economic docket today, with the headline figure expected to post an annualised growth rate of 4.5% in May, unchanged from April's reading. The core index is expected to show a slight slowdown in price growth, at 3.5%, down from 3.7%. With inflation expected to remain unchanged from the previous month, the BoE is unlikely to face any further pressure to raise interest rates. Even if inflation grew at a faster than expected pace; a result that would usually see increased talk of an interest-rate hike to curb 'dangerous' levels of growth, the currency exchange market is unlikely to react as the BoE has already received support from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for its choice of appropriate monetary policy, and the view that above-target inflation in the UK is temporary. With rate expectations falling, the Pound could face headwinds and subsequently trade lower against the other major currencies.

In light of on going sovereign debt fears, the Euro managed to end a three day decline against the US Dollar, much to the surprise of foreign exchange traders. The EUR/USD exchange rate managed to push through to 1.44 despite the European Central Bank (ECB) President Jean-Claude Trichet and German Finance minister Wolfgang Schaeuble being unable to agree on the role in which investors will play in the Greek bailout, with Schaeubles pushing for creditors to pay some of the cost, while Trichet believes this could be an enormous mistake. While the disagreement remains unresolved the IMF has threatened to withhold its share of Greece's original bailout package. Such an outcome would be hugely detrimental to Greece and could very well shake up the whole European economy. Adding salt to the wound, credit ratings agency Standard and Poor's lowered Greece's credit rating from B to CCC given the increase likelihood of the nation defaulting on its debt. While the Euro continued to be uninhibited by this news when it came to the US Dollar, the same wasn't true of the GBP/EUR exchange rate which hit 1.1362 at the open of the US session.

Today the European docket will be almost entirely empty of meaningful economic data, but that doesn't mean that the day will be uneventful. Given the threat that the IMF gave on withholding part of Greece's bailout package, European finance ministers have called for a special meeting to be held. If a compromise is reached then the Euro could well rally as the outlook for the region improves. However, failure to reach a suitable agreement could put serious pressure on the Euro, and make the currency exchange rate more favourable for buying Euros.

The three day rally that the market saw on the US Dollar at the end of last week came to a stop on Monday. A lack of meaningful data on the US docket meant left the currency open to risk sentiment, and consequentially the currency traded lower against the other majors as traders regained their appetite for risk. The Dollar made its greatest losses against the Japanese Yen and the Swiss Franc, while the US Dollar was down 0.19% against the Canadian Dollar during the Asian session as well as being down against the Australian and New Zealand Dollars.

This afternoon's session could see the Dollar extend its losses as May's advance retail sales are expected to contract by 0.5%, a sharp reversal compared to April's 0.5% increase. Further to this, interest rate hike expectations are likely to fall given that the month-on-month reading for the US Producer Price Index is expected to slow from 0.8% in April to 0.1% in May.

Foreign Exchange Daily Market Update 06/06/11

Last week's data out from the UK was largely disappointing, which led the Pound to trade lower against the Euro. There was mixed price action versus the US Dollar across the week, as the US try to deal with their own economic problems. Wednesday's UK mortgage approvals for April showed that lending was still subdued, while the first of the Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) triplet, the manufacturing PMI, under performed for May. The PMI for the services sector also came in below expectations on Friday, to show a slow down in activity since April. Only the construction sector out performed the consensus rising from 53.3 to 54.0.

This week's calendar is looking very light indeed, with nothing major to be reported until Thursday, when the Bank of England (BoE) will be announcing this month's interest rate decision. With this being the first month that the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) will be voting without the renowned hawk Andrew Sentance, the chances of a further shift in sentiment towards a rate-hike seem less likely. April's trade balance deficit will also be reported on Thursday, with expectations calling for the deficit to have narrowed since March. Friday will see April's industrial and manufacturing production figures announced which are set to show a slow down in production and could potentially weaken the Pound's standing. Lastly May’s Producer Price Index will close the week’s data set and could push up rate hike expectations should the market see a large growth rate than the forecasted 3.40% increase in prices.

The foreign exchange market has witnessed the Euro continue to gather strength, despite ongoing issues of sovereign debt. The single-currency's upward movement started on Monday with news that Greece would undertake another round of austerity measures in a bid to secure funds from the International Monetary fund (IMF) and the EU. The news overshadowed Germany's disappointing decline in unemployment by 8,000 individuals, but the Euro's rally was short lived as by Thursday Moody's downgraded Greece's credit rating by three notches and raised its risk of default to 50%. By Friday though the Euro had recovered, in part due to an upward revision in May's Services PMI for Germany and the Euro-zone overall, but mostly due to some devastating figures from the US, which saw the currency end the week at 1.4430 against the Dollar and 1.12 versus the Pound.

In contrast to the UK docket, there are a number of key European figures to watch for this week, the most important of which being Wednesday's 1st quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) reading for the Euro-zone. The figure is expected to remain unchanged at 0.8% growth from the previous quarter. A larger than expected increase in GDP will extend the Euro’s gain while weaker growth will push the currency lower. Market traders will then look towards the ECB's interest rate decision on Thursday, which could remain unchanged at 1.25% given previous commentary from ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet that higher borrowing costs could jeopardise the recovery in weaker European peripheries. However Monday's Producer Price Index (PPI) could raise rate hike expectations if inflation comes in above the 6.6% consensus and in turn the currency could receive a boost. Keeping with inflation, Germany’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures on Friday could potentially contradict the ECB’s decision to hold rates (if that is the central bank’s decision) if inflation comes in above the expected 2.40% increase. This is a very real possibility given that Germany’s economic growth has placed increased pressure on price growth.

Economic figures out from the US generated a bearish trend for the US dollar. After a slow start to the week May's consumer confidence index was published on Tuesday showing a drop in consumer sentiment from 66.0 to 60.8. The downbeat news continued on Wednesday when payrolls processor ADP reported that in May the US economy added a mere 38,000 jobs massively missing estimates for 175,000 to be added. Further to this manufacturing activity slowed in May according the ISM manufacturing index which fell to 53.5 from 60.4. However the greatest blow to the US economy came on Friday when the Labour Department announced that Non-farm Payrolls came in well below the consensus of 165,000 jobs with an increase of 54,000. This left the Dollar trading at 1.6420 on Friday against the Pound, with further loses being made against the other safe havens; the Japanese Yen and the Swiss Franc, while against the Australian, New Zealand and Canadian Dollars the US Dollar managed to close the week relatively unchanged from its open.

Meaningful economic data from the US will be in short supply this week leaving traders waiting until Wednesday for the first significant event, the Fed's Beige Book report. Given the recent flurry of weak economic data, the beige book is unlikely to paint a rosy picture for the state of the US economy, so its release could potentially push the Dollar lower. The Dollar could face further woes when Thursday's trade balance sheet is released for April. Economists believe that the US trade deficit will widen to $48.8 billion from $48.2 billion.