Monday 5 November 2012

Daily Foreign Exchange Market Update

Last week in the foreign exchange market the Pound strengthened against the Euro but weakened against the US Dollar. The GBPEUR rate opened at 1.2449, falling during the first half of the week to a weekly low of 1.2382 on Wednesday morning before gaining strength across the latter half, peaking Friday morning to a weekly high of 1.2505, closing out slightly lower at 1.2477. The GBPUSD rate opened up at 1.6066 gaining strength throughout most of the week, peaking on Thursday morning to 1.6175 but then slipping down and closing out at a weekly low of 1.6027 on Friday afternoon. Last week the main piece of economic information released from the UK was PMI for manufacturing which is a gauge of manufacturing activity and future outlook. It was expected to fall slightly to 48.0 but actually came out a little lower than expected at 47.5. This week will see the Bank of England meet and decide on whether to change the asset purchasing programme and base rate or keep it the same at £375B and 0.5% respectively and analysts are expecting both to remain the same.

The Euro lost ground against both the Pound and the US Dollar during last week’s market session with the EURUSD rate opening at 1.2904, peaking Wednesday morning to 1.3021 but then closing out the week at a weekly low of 1.2845. Last week there were several pieces of significant data coming out of the Euro-zone including German CPI (inflation) which was higher than expected but the same as last month, 2.0%. German unemployment was also released and came stayed at 6.9%. The Spanish government released their budget last week which saw some improvement on the previous result but still a large deficit of -€46.11. This week will see the ECB meet and discuss the base rate decision which analysts predict to remain at 0.5%. Euro-zone PPI for September will be released early this week with the data set to come out slightly lower at 2.6% compared to the previous result of 2.7% showing a decreasing rate in the change in selling prices of goods.

The US Dollar gained strength against the Pound and the Euro last week in the foreign exchange market. The main data coming out was the unemployment rate which increased slightly from 7.8% to 7.9% and the change in non-farm payrolls which came out better then expected, increasing to 171K from 148K. This week is a very important week in US economics with Tuesday seeing Americans going to the polls to decide on who will be the next US President which will have some affect on the US Dollar.

This Daily Market Update is brought to you by The Market Team @ KBRFXExchange Rate, Currency Conversion & Foreign Currency Transfer specialists.



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